smockers83 wrote:Having the insurance in place can effectively change the elasticity of demand. Having it in place makes demand more inelastic as consumers of health care will consume it without much thought to price. Other products that are said to be inelastic are tabacco and pop/soda. People will consume these products without much thought to price. Or, in another way, demand for a product won't change much for a given price change.
Not arguing against that. Just saying that there are mechanisms that help keep costs in control. How well? No idea. The model has a ton of variables and would need a lot of data just to guess at. While consumer demand is important, it must be compared to the supply. In the short term, if UH is implemented, then I think there will be pressures on the doctors to raise prices. But long term, which is a big part of what we should be considering, I think it will balance out as more people see greater opportunity as doctors.
smockers83 wrote:When an employer seeks out a insurance provider, it is able to get better rates due to the law of large numbers. Whenever group insurance is used, it reduces the premium because the insurance company can assess the risk of the group better than an individual. If the company starts to negotiate premiums down, it creates competition within the insurance industry sure, but when health care costs are rising, that means insurance services will start to get cut in order to protect profits. So a company may get lower rates when it begins to negotiate, but at what cost?
I don't think its the law of large numbers that helps keeps rates low. Its more like the buying power you have when you can purchase 50+ policies at a time vs 1. I'm sure underwriters would prefer to be able to assess each individual's risk in a company, but when your sales teams are staring million dollar premiums in the face they make concessions and simply assess the risk more broadly. That said, rising healthcare costs can surely cause benefits to be lost. But that's a result of rising healthcare costs. Not a cause. And the pressure the keep rates low for procedures will still be there. Going back to the auto body repair model, over the course of 10 years, I saw labor rates in my area increase from about $30/32 per hour to about $36/$38. The price controls are not absolutely static. They do adjust with the market. Afterall, auto insurance companies do realize the necessity of keeping body shops in business or there would be noone to repair the vehicles. I'm sure a similar relationships exists in the medical insurance industry.
To be clear, the whole system is quite complex. No one factor can be easily isolated (perhaps not at all) as multiple effects are going to be occuring simultaneously. My contention made against Charlieo's argument was that insurance doesn't cause some arbitrary price increase (i.e. doctors charging whatever they feel like).
bobotech wrote:Big problem I see with UH is that its going to hurt the middle class the most.
If we started handing out free complete health care to every single valid citizen of the US, the money is going to have to come from somewhere. Where is it going to come from? More free money printed by the fed? I don't think so.
They will have to tax the middle income people even more to pay for UH. So people like me are going to be hurt with zero benefit to me. I already have health care, I don't need UH. If we impose UH, then my payout share will more than likely rise.
I sure as hell don't want that.
We don't even know the specifics of such a program and you're already dismissing it? I'm all for scrutinizing it. While I'd like to see UH implemented, I don't want to see it done poorly.
bobotech wrote:Currently when someone who is poor and who doesn't have health care has a major problem, they go to the hospital and get fixed. The debt is still on the books so as far as the hospital is concerned, they still should be paid by the customer who was repaired. The debts don't get discharge until many years later or when the person goes bankrupt.
In which case we are already paying for it indirectly. Whether the doctors or creditors eat the cost, it gets passed on to the rest of us.
bobotech wrote:However if you cut out all that by imposing UH, then that person who went to the hosptial to get repaired, then they would not be responsible for their debt at all. The hospital would then just charge the govt for the repair job and that would affect my taxes in a much more direct manner.
The expectation is that there would be no individual debt from this.
bobotech wrote:That is why I don't want UH, it gets rid of the incentive to get a freaking job for a lot of people. Who wants to get a job if the govt will always have some sort of free fallback program espeically if that free fallback program is for life. Currently a lot of fallback programs are designed to be temporary and their ending is an incentive to get another damned job. Unemployment is an example.
Getting a job doesn't guarantee that a person gets medical benefits. Sure, there are people out there that are dependent on welfare, but that's an exception, not the rule. Most people want jobs so they can afford a roof over their heads and food to eat. UH isn't going to provide that for them. Part of the problem with our system is that its easier to live off of welfare and qualify for government sponsored health benefits than to get a job that might be marginally better than welfare and not provide any medical benefits.
bobotech wrote:UH isn't a free program that will have no negative effect on middle class folk like me, it *will* effect middle class negatively. And its going to remove a lot of incentive for lazy people to get jobs and try to better themselves. More dead weight on the economy. Who wants that?
Private medical insurance isn't free either. The way I see it, I'd rather give everyone basic insurance so that they can afford to see a doctor before a relatively minor issue becomes a major one. I'd expect we might see some savings in the bigger picture by doing so. This not only includes direct costs for medical expenses, but also in time taken off from work for bigger issues. Or perhaps that people who are facing BK or have gone through it as a result of medical expenses end up not being able to contribute to economic spending as much (especially in regards to items typically bought with credit; which is a factor in our current recession). Having UH would help people who want to start up businesses who otherwise wouldn't as they may need the insurance due to health issues. Small businesses could more easily get access to a greater pool of employees as they would have access to those who would otherwise not seek employment there if no medical benefits were provided. Employees could seek out such jobs instead of being stuck in a job they hate just because it provides medical benefits. Does the positive outweigh the negative? I have no idea. But it certainly isn't just negative.
smockers83 wrote:We already have something in place that would work. Dare I say that George Bush got this rolling. Charlieo mentioned it earlier, they're called HSAs, health spending accounts. You put money into the account, it's there for health care when you need it. Some allow money to carry over year after year, some don't.
Problem with HSA's is that low-income families can't afford to do it. Secondly it can also tie up funds for people who can actually afford to use it. I'm not particulalry against HSA's as they can be beneficial to some, but it is not a ubiquitous solution for everyone. In fact, research indicates that the majority of people who use it are middle and low-middle income households:
http://www.ahipresearch.org/pdfs/HSAIncome2009.pdf
Further, this person, based on her research believes that HSA's are not an effective solution at all:
http://www.commonwealthfund.or....aspx