Post by
96Qowner »
https://forums.nicoclub.com/96qowner-u19561.html
Wed Apr 23, 2008 12:34 pm
I think PA was his death knell. Clinton took him by 55/45 despite outspending her 3:1. The only big States he's won have been Virginia and Illinois and that ain' gonna cut it. People will say that you can't translate primary contests to general election contest, but ... yeah ... you can. PA proved that Obama can't win the Reagan Democrats, and if he can't do that, he can't win the general election, period.
So, either the SDs give the nomination to Clinton, or Obama loses in the GE.
I also heard a possible explanation for what Hillary is up to, from Ron Reagan of all people. She's actually running for 2012. She's playing this primary season for all it's worth, proving herself to her supporters, so that when Obama loses to McCain she can come back in 2012 and be the "I told you so" candidate. Makes sense to me - no lose situation. She'll make herself more of a Party leader in the Senate, where she can oppose President McCain for 4 years and position herself for a successful bid in 2012.