I would say first of all you need to reverse the 2 questions. Question 2 must be answered before question 1. I dont believe a tenable solution for question 2 exists, thereby negating question 1, BUT, for arguments sake, lets give it a shot. I would argue that the best answer for question 2, at least for our economy and society, is to impose control in the form of incentives rather than consequences. This way allows question 1 to be answer not by the imposing government, but by the market place itself.IBCoupe wrote: For the most part, it's pollution control. In the few instances where it's not pollution control, it's an attempt to preserve come ecological characteristic. When we're proceeding on crafting environmental regulations, we usually focus on two big questions: (1) how much control do we want to impose, and (2) how do we go about imposing that control?
We talk alot about sensationalism, CO2 is a perfect example. CO2 is one of the leastmost contributors to the greenhouse effect, and its actually a VITAL gas in our atmosphere. If plants dont breathe, we dont breathe. Water vapor is the largest contributor to the greenhouse effect, do we want to try and lower the levels of water vapor?IBCoupe wrote: Let’s focus a little bit on global warming. Whatever its political and popular implications may be, the vast majority of the science on global warming points in one direction. But that’s not particularly important for this portion of the discussion. The issue is: how might we impose control to reduce the emissions of CO2 and the other five major greenhouse gases [hereinafter CO2]? There are four (five, actually, but really only four) options.
Could this be because we are actually NOT having a global impact, but merely a local one? Im all for cleaning our act up, making our space healthier, but the thing is, our polluting and cleaning happens on the local level.IBCoupe wrote: The major issue that comes up with this approach is that it works really well for local pollution, but doesn’t really work nearly as well for a larger scale approach. It’s just a much more complicated endeavor.
Opponents to capitalism quite often wear out the argument about over-reaching corporations and monopolies of goods and service providers. The Cap & Trade model perpetuates these ghosts of the free market.IBCoupe wrote: Second, we could try Cap & Trade
Again this gets into punitive action on the issue, where the only incentive is to avoid the punitive action. And as you pointed out, corporations dont pay tax anyway, the end user pays the tax.IBCoupe wrote: The third option is to impose a tax on CO2 pollution.
This is where strong incentives come into play.IBCoupe wrote: The fourth option is to not bother trying to determine what exactly the right level of pollution is. Similar to what we’ve done with the auto industry and fuel efficiency standards, we could say to polluters – you need to be as clean as is technologically feasible.
The industry’s first response (as it was with fuel efficiency standards back in the 1970’s) will be, “It can’t be done. You’ll never be able to get a cleaner level of pollution.” When that turns out to be wrong, the next response will be, “It can’t be done cheaply.” When that eventually turns out to be wrong, they’ll come up with something else to say.
Good argument for private sector regulation.IBCoupe wrote: But the real problem with the fourth option is that it requires the regulators to examine the existing technology, determine a proper requirement, and then return for a periodic review of the available technologies. Regulators are notoriously bad in this country on that last part. Another issue is that we’re trying to make a regulatory-based market for new technologies.
Yes its hard to pin things that show up 20 years later onto any particular organization or person.IBCoupe wrote: The fifth option is to do what we used to do a lot more, and still do in some cases (like BP): liability. The theory being that if a polluter knows that they will eventually be financially liable for the harms caused by their pollution, they’ll pollute less.
The flaw with that theory (and why it’s not really an option here) is that it was hard enough to show when it was a local factory polluting in a small, relatively closed system. There are too many polluters in this issue, and each one will point to another, and no one will be stuck with liability (unless we try market-share liability, which has its own issues because we’re dealing with numerous different markets and different methods of pollution output).
I'll do my best to keep you in line.stebo0728 wrote:Ok gonna try and keep the tangentiality to a minimal level. As I said I dont wanna bog down the thread so feel free to admonish me of such at any time.
"How do we exert control" before "how much control we want to exert," you mean? Given that the answer to question one could possibly be "None," I think that reversing the order is less than prudent.stebo0728 wrote:I would say first of all you need to reverse the 2 questions. Question 2 must be answered before question 1. I dont believe a tenable solution for question 2 exists, thereby negating question 1, BUT, for arguments sake, lets give it a shot. I would argue that the best answer for question 2, at least for our economy and society, is to impose control in the form of incentives rather than consequences. This way allows question 1 to be answer not by the imposing government, but by the market place itself.
It was a little bit, but I might not have been clear enough. The way I'm using "CO2" throughout this piece is as shorthand for "CO2 and the five other major greenhouse gases we're worried about." I tried to be clear with some legalese phrasing at the outset with that "[hereinafter CO2]" thing.stebo0728 wrote:We talk alot about sensationalism, CO2 is a perfect example. CO2 is one of the leastmost contributors to the greenhouse effect, and its actually a VITAL gas in our atmosphere. If plants dont breathe, we dont breathe. Water vapor is the largest contributor to the greenhouse effect, do we want to try and lower the levels of water vapor?
That may be a bit of a tangent.
It happens on a local level, but the thing about it is, while we have many countries, we only have one, large, complex atmosphere. This is the big thing about making sure that everybody participates, not just those rich enough to afford it (though, unfortunately, that ideal may be unreachable).stebo0728 wrote:Could this be because we are actually NOT having a global impact, but merely a local one? Im all for cleaning our act up, making our space healthier, but the thing is, our polluting and cleaning happens on the local level.
How so?stebo0728 wrote:Opponents to capitalism quite often wear out the argument about over-reaching corporations and monopolies of goods and service providers. The Cap & Trade model perpetuates these ghosts of the free market.
Right. I tried to point out that Cap & Trade incorporates that disincentive with the positive incentive made through the ability to profit off of your non-pollution.stebo0728 wrote:Again this gets into punitive action on the issue, where the only incentive is to avoid the punitive action. And as you pointed out, corporations dont pay tax anyway, the end user pays the tax.
Hard to make those incentives, as I pointed out below and you responded to.stebo0728 wrote:This is where strong incentives come into play.
Which, as I've stated outright in this post and alluded to in the previous post, isn't really feasible.stebo0728 wrote:Good argument for private sector regulation.
This argument rests on the theory that not being responsible for something that could drastically change the world is not a reason to avoid it. Hey, it's not our fault that there's an asteroid headed for Kansas City; no need to worry about it.stebo0728 wrote:Yes its hard to pin things that show up 20 years later onto any particular organization or person.
I guess the crux of my argument is as presented before in other threads. There is a lack of conclusive evidence, empirical data, that proves that mankind is directly responsible for anything happening in or to our planet, and until some can be presented, we should stop hanging ourselves over it.
Yes I was advocating asking "how to" before "how much". This was assuming that the answer to "how much" being "none" was already off the table, given our governments track record that seems not a very plausible answer, even if it is the correct answer.IBCoupe wrote: "How do we exert control" before "how much control we want to exert," you mean? Given that the answer to question one could possibly be "None," I think that reversing the order is less than prudent.
This is probably true of our current economic/legislative climate. But my theory is that if the free market were allowed to function properly these sorts of issues would not be issues. Its like having the winning race horse in the race, but leaving the blinders on out the gate.IBCoupe wrote: Now, allowing the market to sort it out is very much like option 5 below, which doesn't really work, especially in this kind of a situation.
Ya I understood your shorthand, and realize you were lumping, but my point was that the mass media uses CO2 as the poster child of global warming, and that makes no sense.IBCoupe wrote: It was a little bit, but I might not have been clear enough. The way I'm using "CO2" throughout this piece is as shorthand for "CO2 and the five other major greenhouse gases we're worried about." I tried to be clear with some legalese phrasing at the outset with that "[hereinafter CO2]" thing.
And to what extent do we "make sure" everyone participates? To the point of using the governments ability to hold someone at gunpoint to persuade an issue? Do we use military action to sway another nation to participate if all other efforts fail?IBCoupe wrote: It happens on a local level, but the thing about it is, while we have many countries, we only have one, large, complex atmosphere. This is the big thing about making sure that everybody participates, not just those rich enough to afford it (though, unfortunately, that ideal may be unreachable).
Small pick up businesses in an industry where Cap & Trade is applicable will have trouble maintaining positive cashflow with the overhead involved with these things, which means they will have no choice but to buy credits, this pushing them further into the negative cashflow. Cap & Trade allows the big boys certain advantages over the small boys. The small boys are critical to supply and demand mechanics.IBCoupe wrote:How so?stebo0728 wrote:Opponents to capitalism quite often wear out the argument about over-reaching corporations and monopolies of goods and service providers. The Cap & Trade model perpetuates these ghosts of the free market.
This is very interesting, so are we starting to form the position that humans are infact NOT behind climate change but we should somehow try to do something about it? That seems a bit humanistic to me, whos to say that what weve experienced as normal the past few centuries IS normal on the planetary level? Should we interfere with global climate processes in our own intrest, especially when we dont fully understand the processes, or the consequences to our involvement?IBCoupe wrote: This argument rests on the theory that not being responsible for something that could drastically change the world is not a reason to avoid it. Hey, it's not our fault that there's an asteroid headed for Kansas City; no need to worry about it.
In other words, whether we're responsible for a thing happening isn't really all that relevant as to the determination as to whether or not it's in our interest to do something about it.
In all reality, government doesn't have an interest in regulating for the sake of regulating. The government does best when the economy does best, and the economy does best (in theory, at least - there's some evidence that shows correspondence between a wealthy country and a clean country, though it may just be that a wealthy country can afford to be a clean country) when there's minimal regulation.stebo0728 wrote:Yes I was advocating asking "how to" before "how much". This was assuming that the answer to "how much" being "none" was already off the table, given our governments track record that seems not a very plausible answer, even if it is the correct answer.
And, again, I have to point to the tragedy of the commons. It's in no one's apparent self interest to take on the collective self-interest. That's why it takes regulation to create the incentives (avoiding taxation, avoiding fines, selling "carbon credits," etc.) that amount to market forces pushing in favor of collective interest.stebo0728 wrote:This is probably true of our current economic/legislative climate. But my theory is that if the free market were allowed to function properly these sorts of issues would not be issues. Its like having the winning race horse in the race, but leaving the blinders on out the gate.
Media simplification doesn't help; you're right.stebo0728 wrote:Ya I understood your shorthand, and realize you were lumping, but my point was that the mass media uses CO2 as the poster child of global warming, and that makes no sense.
Through skilled negotiations, hopefully. At the international level, we see the same "tragedy of the commons" issue: it's in no country's self-interest to unilaterally take on all of the world's problems.stebo0728 wrote:And to what extent do we "make sure" everyone participates? To the point of using the governments ability to hold someone at gunpoint to persuade an issue? Do we use military action to sway another nation to participate if all other efforts fail?
I see what you mean, and there are definitely complex issues at play. While cap & trade would advantage those with the means to reduce their pollution, is this necessarily a bad thing? As the big boys reduce their pollution through technological improvements, the costs of taking on those technological improvements will, over time, decrease (in theory). So the perpetuation of big over small needn't be seen as permanent, and a little sacrifice for a big improvement might be worth it.stebo0728 wrote:Small pick up businesses in an industry where Cap & Trade is applicable will have trouble maintaining positive cashflow with the overhead involved with these things, which means they will have no choice but to buy credits, this pushing them further into the negative cashflow. Cap & Trade allows the big boys certain advantages over the small boys. The small boys are critical to supply and demand mechanics.
Much about free market economics plays out to a bit of hypocrisy. "I'm going to do what's best for me, but curse you for hurting me with what's best for you!"stebo0728 wrote:Further, Cap & Trade seems a bit hipocritical to me, its like saying "ok we have a major problem but rather than address it Im just gonna pay for some credits to keep making it worse". And do we take Cap & Trade to the individual level? How much power should someone be able to consume? Should a guy and his wife living in a mansion sapping Gigawatts of power for all their fountains and lightshows and whatnot have to purchase credits from people who are consuming under their alotted portion of power? Starting to sound like socialism, and redistribution of wealth to me. Again hidden under the guise of "environmentalism".
I'm not anywhere near forming that position. I'm just saying that, projections for what global warming will mean for us show that the negatives will outweigh the positives (and yes, there will be positives - Canada and Russia will see a population and real estate boom), and that means that, regardless of whether or not we caused it, it's in our interest to minimize it. You can still debate whether you think it will work and whether the costs of trying to avert the damage will outweigh the costs imposed by the damage, but whether we caused it is not something we need to figure out.stebo0728 wrote:This is very interesting, so are we starting to form the position that humans are infact NOT behind climate change but we should somehow try to do something about it? That seems a bit humanistic to me, whos to say that what weve experienced as normal the past few centuries IS normal on the planetary level? Should we interfere with global climate processes in our own intrest, especially when we dont fully understand the processes, or the consequences to our involvement?
That sounds great, and unicorns are pretty as well. I guess you must first define "does well" for government. If you were to say government doing well means that the individual members of the government are doing well, then sure your statement is correct, but if you define it as the government being able to retain or further is authority on its people, then suddenly there is an inverse interest with the economy. I guess what Im saying, is YES today the government does seem to regulate just for the sake of regulating, whether the interest of such is real or imaginary doesnt seem to be part of the equation.IBCoupe wrote: In all reality, government doesn't have an interest in regulating for the sake of regulating. The government does best when the economy does best, and the economy does best
Is this tragedy of commons new to our technological age, or has it always existed? It does seem to have haunted our days when the free market functioned more purely in the past. Does the industrial revolution change this? It would seem the free market mechanics would be linearly related with progress, not inversely.IBCoupe wrote: And, again, I have to point to the tragedy of the commons. It's in no one's apparent self interest to take on the collective self-interest. That's why it takes regulation to create the incentives (avoiding taxation, avoiding fines, selling "carbon credits," etc.) that amount to market forces pushing in favor of collective interest.
Heres the thing about the free market. You are supposed to let it run functionally with as little intervention as ABSOLUTELY necessary. Once you begin to tinker with it, those minor changes become nearly IMPOSSIBLE to massage back out. In other words, once the big boys are given an advantage, its not so easy to remove that advantage at a later date.IBCoupe wrote: I see what you mean, and there are definitely complex issues at play. While cap & trade would advantage those with the means to reduce their pollution, is this necessarily a bad thing? As the big boys reduce their pollution through technological improvements, the costs of taking on those technological improvements will, over time, decrease (in theory). So the perpetuation of big over small needn't be seen as permanent, and a little sacrifice for a big improvement might be worth it.
Now were getting complicated, do we need a new bureaucracy to keep up with this? Is this new government jobs? Some of the jobs were were promised? Just being coy.IBCoupe wrote: And there's nothing saying we can't scale the credit amount granted on the basis of business size.
Have to completely disagree here. Whether we are the cause is key. If we are, then we need to fix our goof up, if we arent then its just natural processes that we are possible exacerbating, and perhaps we should not meddle in the natural processes of the planet?IBCoupe wrote: but whether we cased it is not something we need to figure out.
I disagree.stebo0728 wrote:That sounds great, and unicorns are pretty as well. I guess you must first define "does well" for government. If you were to say government doing well means that the individual members of the government are doing well, then sure your statement is correct, but if you define it as the government being able to retain or further is authority on its people, then suddenly there is an inverse interest with the economy. I guess what Im saying, is YES today the government does seem to regulate just for the sake of regulating, whether the interest of such is real or imaginary doesnt seem to be part of the equation.
It's an economic principle, and it has always existed, independent of technology. It's a fundamental part of the human psyche, not a function of our ability to mine the world. There are issues with caviar and sturgeon. There are issues with cod. The Dodo got wiped out because it was both tasty and stupid. I'm sure that the disappearance of the Dodo wasn't a surprise to those hunting it, but the individual incentive to sell and eat the Dodo meat was not outweighed by the risk that there would someday be no more Dodo meat to sell or eat for anyone. The gain was entirely internal, and the cost was shared.stebo0728 wrote:Is this tragedy of commons new to our technological age, or has it always existed? It does seem to have haunted our days when the free market functioned more purely in the past. Does the industrial revolution change this? It would seem the free market mechanics would be linearly related with progress, not inversely.
Why? Once, say, the coal industry has sufficiently resourced the exploration of the technology required to clean their pollution so as to make the technology cheaper to acquire, why would it still be harder for upstarts? We're talking about an upstart now or an upstart later - I don't see that much of a difference.stebo0728 wrote:Heres the thing about the free market. You are supposed to let it run functionally with as little intervention as ABSOLUTELY necessary. Once you begin to tinker with it, those minor changes become nearly IMPOSSIBLE to massage back out. In other words, once the big boys are given an advantage, its not so easy to remove that advantage at a later date.
I know you're being coy, but we already have the EPA. Maybe they'll need more manpower, but not much more beaurocracy would exist.stebo0728 wrote:Now were getting complicated, do we need a new bureaucracy to keep up with this? Is this new government jobs? Some of the jobs were were promised? Just being coy.
Again, whether or not it's our "goof" is irrelevant - responsibility is not what motivates us to protect ourselves as an intelligent society. We tell women, "You know, even though getting raped would be entirely the fault of the guy who rapes you, there are things you can and should do in order to avoid the situation altogether."stebo0728 wrote:Have to completely disagree here. Whether we are the cause is key. If we are, then we need to fix our goof up, if we arent then its just natural processes that we are possible exacerbating, and perhaps we should not meddle in the natural processes of the planet?
If you understood the science a little better, you would realize that your reasoning is actually sensational.stebo0728 wrote:We talk alot about sensationalism, CO2 is a perfect example. CO2 is one of the leastmost contributors to the greenhouse effect, and its actually a VITAL gas in our atmosphere. If plants dont breathe, we dont breathe. Water vapor is the largest contributor to the greenhouse effect, do we want to try and lower the levels of water vapor?
Wait what? When does an employer PAY your income tax for you? How can I get on this program?IBCoupe wrote:Not sure if it's illegal. I know when an employer pays your income tax for you, that's seen as additional income, and so you get taxed on that, too. Might have been higher if she'd paid for it herself, but I suppose that's not your (or their, rather) point.