Lets add all the volcano's around the world which are mother natures way of heating the earth. . . if you take the 1 billion cars' pollution and compare it to the pollution of 1 volcano it is like comparing the size of the earth to the size of the sun.Sentientbydesign wrote:Without getting into a heated debate. Let's consider this... There are somewhere in the neighborhood of 1 billion motor vehicles in the world.
Now let's remove the polution aspect from the vehicles and just concentrate on heat output.
Can anybody seriously say that 1 billion vehicles pumping heat into our environment isn't causing some increase in global temperature?
Add in cooking, heating, and industrial heat and it's really difficult to say that there isn't at least some degree of global warming being caused by humans.
Your POV doesn't really say anything. Billions of tiny heaters still amount to a continuous release of large amounts of heat.xX RB Xx wrote:^ I disagree.
Here in Memphis, we had one of the coolest summers in 100 years. And what has only been around for 100 years?? Automobiles, and all of the other things you mentioned that would increased global temps.
S13_love wrote:Yeah, "global warming" is "a bunch of poo" for crying out loud.
Let me put it this way, there are a couple towns just east of here which have already gotten snow...it's not even October.
you gotta think though. a rise of, say, 1 degree in the average temp of the globe doesnt necessarily mean that everywhere on the face of the planets ambiant air temp goes up by 1 degree. its an average, which means that a region that was much colder basically got warm enough to melt off all its locked up water, be it ice or snow or whatever, and flood all that back into various bodies of water around the globe.xX RB Xx wrote:^ I disagree.
Here in Memphis, we had one of the coolest summers in 100 years. And what has only been around for 100 years?? Automobiles, and all of the other things you mentioned that would increased global temps.
I have no problem with your POV or considering the above. Pollution has been a factor that has increased and is constantly being worked on by having more efficient vehicles. I fully approve. We have made great strides in the US since the 70's on that front.Sentientbydesign wrote:Without getting into a heated debate. Let's consider this... There are somewhere in the neighborhood of 1 billion motor vehicles in the world.
Now let's remove the polution aspect from the vehicles and just concentrate on heat output.
Can anybody seriously say that 1 billion vehicles pumping heat into our environment isn't causing some increase in global temperature?
Add in cooking, heating, and industrial heat and it's really difficult to say that there isn't at least some degree of global warming being caused by humans.
Science is so heavily manipulated right now that I don't really believe it unless I do the experimenting myself.audtatious wrote:
I have no problem with your POV or considering the above. Pollution has been a factor that has increased and is constantly being worked on by having more efficient vehicles. I fully approve. We have made great strides in the US since the 70's on that front.
The question you should ask is, if what seems obvious to you, that the use of cars, trucks, etc. has to be making some change, why can't those who support your viewpoint come up with real data instead of false data?
It's been shown that ice core data is incorrect from a CO2 perspective because as time passes and pressure increases, CO2 diminishes in ice. Thus, the "lower" CO2 numbers shown via ice cores in the past do not prove anything unless you neglect the "diminishing CO2 in ice" discovery. Then you have all the data from weather stations around the globe where a large number of them are on asphalt, near A/C units, etc. Now we have the tree ring data being manipulated.....
Links please. I'm curious as to how any chemical will diminish over time unless it is actually leaving the ice somehow. And even then, it would have to make its way through all the layers of ice above it. If the CO2 isotopes from one period are different than others, then we would see a mixing of them and could likely still come up with a determination of how much CO2 exists for each poeriod based on isotope spread throughout the core. This can depend on how the CO2 escapes. I can't imagine there are many chemical reactions taking place given the relative stability of water and CO2 molecules and the temperatures they will be at in the ice. Even then, there would be traces of such reactions as we could simply seek the carbon atoms still trapped in the ice that are now attached with other atoms/molecules. Of course, I'm no chemist, so if there is a valid explanation, it is beyond my knowledge and understanding, but I'd like to see the explanation that is being offered.audtatious wrote:It's been shown that ice core data is incorrect from a CO2 perspective because as time passes and pressure increases, CO2 diminishes in ice. Thus, the "lower" CO2 numbers shown via ice cores in the past do not prove anything unless you neglect the "diminishing CO2 in ice" discovery. Then you have all the data from weather stations around the globe where a large number of them are on asphalt, near A/C units, etc. Now we have the tree ring data being manipulated.....
Absolutely. Not only that, but the average also has to be taken over time. A long enough period to show a trend as there are cycles that do occur globally as well. Anything observed as weather cannot directly be used for such an analysis._b.jaye_ wrote:you gotta think though. a rise of, say, 1 degree in the average temp of the globe doesnt necessarily mean that everywhere on the face of the planets ambiant air temp goes up by 1 degree. its an average, which means that a region that was much colder basically got warm enough to melt off all its locked up water, be it ice or snow or whatever, and flood all that back into various bodies of water around the globe.
being as water temps are one of the main drivers of weather patterns, your gonna see changes in temps (could be higher OR lower temps depending on how patterns are effected) & weather for what may seem like a small average increase.
Sure, but what are the effects? If more heat energy is in the atmosphere, then ice will melt. Ice absorbs a tremendous amount of heat as it changes from ice to water. So temperature rise will be offset somewhat, but such mechanisms are not infinite. If you consider the earth as an energy system (think physics), then energy is conserved. So energy being released as heat has to go somewhere. Some will naturally be emitted out of the atmosphere, some might be absorbed by various things on earth. But at some point, if we produce enough heat to exhaust the capabilities or reach their maximum capabilities of absorbing heat, then we will see a rise in heat. Not to mention we already get a lot of our heat from the sun. Moreover, if climate scientists are right, then the increase in CO2 would reduce one path for heat to be shed, which can cause more load on other methods of removing heat. Of course, the science is quite complex (I think its mostly an issue of having a ton of variables rather than being an issue of human understanding of science) and beyond my own understanding, but the basic bookeeping principle with energy is valid in any system where energy is conserved. This is pretty much on par with what Nate is thinking, but it is certainly much more complex as there are many factors that are likely to be variable with changing temperature.nametakennow wrote:The earth has mechanisms for managing its temperature - not quite actively like a mammal's body, but there are elements that are relatively difficult to imbalance. Even when these elements do get out of balance (say, extraterrestrial impact), the outside influence is often cause for an increase in these mechanisms' activity, which results in a return the balance.
Hilariously, the same class where all of that was explained to me, fortifying my previous ideas that anthropogenic global warming was, to use a technical term, hullabaloo, is also a class where I literally walked out in annoyance one day in the middle of an alarmist CO2 "discussion" led by the professor.
edit: How'd I wander into Politics? Blast... oh well.
I saw it on some Discovery Chnl deal. Searching the net brings me to:C-Kwik wrote:
Links please. I'm curious as to how any chemical will diminish over time unless it is actually leaving the ice somehow. And even then, it would have to make its way through all the layers of ice above it. If the CO2 isotopes from one period are different than others, then we would see a mixing of them and could likely still come up with a determination of how much CO2 exists for each poeriod based on isotope spread throughout the core. This can depend on how the CO2 escapes. I can't imagine there are many chemical reactions taking place given the relative stability of water and CO2 molecules and the temperatures they will be at in the ice. Even then, there would be traces of such reactions as we could simply seek the carbon atoms still trapped in the ice that are now attached with other atoms/molecules. Of course, I'm no chemist, so if there is a valid explanation, it is beyond my knowledge and understanding, but I'd like to see the explanation that is being offered.
Those are some time consuming reads and I don't have the time to look them over in any detail right now. But I noticed a few of the links were to articles written by the same author. And from what I gather, much of his work appears in non-refereed journals. One must ask that if there was any validity to it, why would he not publish the article in a journal that would be subject to peer review? This is not to say that his opinion is wrong, but as I look into the the publications of naysayers of MMGW, I'm finding they are often publishing their works on the topic in a similar manner.audtatious wrote:http://www.21stcenturysciencet...7.pdfhttp://www.larouchepub.com/eiw...e.pdfhttp://www.sciencemag.org/cgi/.../2310http://www.john-daly.com/zjiceco2.htmhttp://www.sepp.org/publications/NIPCC_final.pdfhttp://www.friendsofscience.or...k.pdf"
I too noticed he referred to multiple links by the same guy but it would have been wrong of me to not quote the whole thing. I'm not trying to hide resourcesC-Kwik wrote:
Those are some time consuming reads and I don't have the time to look them over in any detail right now. But I noticed a few of the links were to articles written by the same author. And from what I gather, much of his work appears in non-refereed journals. One must ask that if there was any validity to it, why would he not publish the article in a journal that would be subject to peer review? This is not to say that his opinion is wrong, but as I look into the the publications of naysayers of MMGW, I'm finding they are often publishing their works on the topic in a similar manner.
As for the issue of unfrozen water dissolving CO2, sure. But unless that water is able to seep out of subzero temperature ice (its likely to refreeze) the CO2 would still be trapped in or very near that portion of ice. The explanation I need to understand and verify would be how the CO2 actually leaves the ice completely so that it can not be measured. As I said, if the isotopes of carbon atoms in the ice vary from year to year, they could estimate how much of it seeped into other locations and still measure the ice.
Huh...I never thought of that. Twin turbo BBC FTMFWdusred wrote:
Lets add all the volcano's around the world which are mother natures way of heating the earth. . . if you take the 1 billion cars' pollution and compare it to the pollution of 1 volcano it is like comparing the size of the earth to the size of the sun.
Exactly. It's disgusting and wasteful to be devoting resources and manpower to something that's maybe-someday. Especially when there are REAL problems that REALLY need attention that are getting pushed aside as a result.But perhaps the worst thing is that entire industries are being reshaped because of this nebulous "maybe-someday" thing. We're so busy preparing for "when" it happens, we haven't stopped to think about how we could be worse off in the future if it DOESN'T happen. Our focuses are in all the wrong places. We're only preparing for ONE possible eventuality. It's unwise and we will regret it down the road.AZhitman wrote:While people are running around freaking out over something that may or may not happen, but certainly won't impact me, my children, or my great-great-grandchildren, I'll be putting my effort into improving things for us WHILE WE'RE HERE.
While it would be interesting to see what the arguments are, consider that if you are basing your opinions on a documentary, what gives it anymore credibility than "An Inconveneient Truth"? The reality is even Gore's movie is only a documentary. The most credible sources are going to be the peer-reviewed journals.audtatious wrote:As I said I had seen it on some documentary concerning MMGW but don't remember if it was History/Discovery/PBS, what....
I find your statement contradicting itself quite a bit. In the one hand, you make a really good point about keeping all scientific debates open. On the other, you state that MMGW is bullcrap and an exaggeration. Keep in mind that Gore is merely a person with political influence that put together an influential movie. The real debate is with those who are doing the research. You also state that these things were disproven by real scientist, yet ignore all the real scientists that back MMGW.MinisterofDOOM wrote:I'm very pleased to see that more and more people are becoming aware of just how much of an exaggeration (and that's putting it lightly) the whole global warming bullcrap is. A couple weeks ago History or Discovery or some channel ran an old "ways we could become extinct" show that featured clips of Gore. I nearly put my fist through my TV when he said, with a sort of impatient sneer, "There's no debate." What an ***hole. The guy's using pseudoscience and made-up bulls*** (and this tree ring/hockeystick graph crap is NOT the first of his "scientific" bases for mmgw to be disproven by REAL scientists) to construct what sounds like a sensible argument on the surface. Anyone who claims there's no debate (and that's anyone on EITHER SIDE) is selling something, plain and simple. That's not how science works. There is ALWAYS a debate. Even with things that are "proven" and understood and accepted as fact, there's always debate. That's how we increase understanding. That's how we gain new knowledge. There's less science in Gore's global warming scare tactics than in Harry Potter.
From a standpoint of MMGW alone, I would agree with you. However, even if MMGW is completely false, we still need to reduce our carbon dependency. Fossil fuels are finite. And even while there is a lot of fossil fuel still out there, it gets much harder to get to (more expensive). Between rising demand and depleting resources, fossil fuels are likely to get exponentially expensive once we reach a certain point. The infrastructure needed to effectively become independent from fossil fuels is tremendous. We can choose to sit idly then try to build a huge "green" system of energy all at once, or we can build it over time and and avoid having to do it all at once, learn more about the technologies, its limitations and pitfalls, better the technology, and by reducing the use of fossil fuels, extend our fossil fuel resources to be used for things that can't be done without fossil fuels. Look beyond MMGW and you'll see plenty of reasons that we should be doing such research anyways.MinisterofDOOM wrote:Exactly. It's disgusting and wasteful to be devoting resources and manpower to something that's maybe-someday. Especially when there are REAL problems that REALLY need attention that are getting pushed aside as a result.But perhaps the worst thing is that entire industries are being reshaped because of this nebulous "maybe-someday" thing. We're so busy preparing for "when" it happens, we haven't stopped to think about how we could be worse off in the future if it DOESN'T happen. Our focuses are in all the wrong places. We're only preparing for ONE possible eventuality. It's unwise and we will regret it down the road.
But even the earth is large enough to have gravitational influence on the sun. From far away, we would observe our own sun as vibrating just as we do other stars that have planets orbiting them. Even still, consider that volcanic activity existed before cars. Any carbon we add to it would increase the total. The question is, is the additional carbon enough to significantly warm the earth? Making a relative comparison to another carbon source does not prove anything...dusred wrote:Lets add all the volcano's around the world which are mother natures way of heating the earth. . . if you take the 1 billion cars' pollution and compare it to the pollution of 1 volcano it is like comparing the size of the earth to the size of the sun.
Just playing the "it was on tv so it's gotta be true" cardC-Kwik wrote:While it would be interesting to see what the arguments are, consider that if you are basing your opinions on a documentary, what gives it anymore credibility than "An Inconveneient Truth"? The reality is even Gore's movie is only a documentary. The most credible sources are going to be the peer-reviewed journals.
C-Kwik wrote:Keep in mind that Gore is merely a person with political influence that put together an influential movie. The real debate is with those who are doing the research.
Is that what they mean by Reality TV?audtatious wrote:Just playing the "it was on tv so it's gotta be true" card
C-Kwik wrote:
But even the earth is large enough to have gravitational influence on the sun. From far away, we would observe our own sun as vibrating just as we do other stars that have planets orbiting them. Even still, consider that volcanic activity existed before cars. Any carbon we add to it would increase the total. The question is, is the additional carbon enough to significantly warm the earth? Making a relative comparison to another carbon source does not prove anything...
(You can read the entire article if you wish: http://imagine.gsfc.nasa.gov/d....html )NASA Scientist wrote:. . . about 1,000,000 Earths would fit inside the sun.