The only way the auto industry bailout can be salvaged is if the right people are in the right positions to make the right decisions. That's just a fact, no matter how you look at it and regardless if the restructuring money comes from the government or the private sector. The fact that the auto industry had no one else to turn to except for the government for help, is a clear indicator of the total demise of a once great empire. I don't wish unemployment on anyone right now, not even Wagoner because let's be realistic, who the hell is ever gonna hire the man? His reputation is destroyed. However, he is a victim of his own creation. He never should have been CEO and I'm sure, given his intelligence in other areas, he knew this. Maybe that's why he didn't put up much of a fight when he was called to resign.Mr1der wrote:I don't think he's got any buisness demanding a CEO to step down however.
Right, there is no guarantee that if GM goes under someone else will immediately appear to take it's place. However, the second half of your argument is exactly what I meant: simply that someone will fill the void. And if those companies cannot produce enough quality products (i.e. cars), then other, smaller companies will have the opportunity to capitalize on the opportunity. The other thing to keep in mind, too, is that GM is the parent company of many other car companies (Chevrolet, Saturn, Opel). I would be curious (morbidly) to see if these other smaller companies would fall with their parent, or if they'd have the necessary leadership and infrastructure to survive.smockers83 wrote:No, there is no guarantee that if GM goes under, magically some company appears to take it's place. That's not true at all. If a car is a car is a car and they are produced by several firms, if one firm goes under, then the supply of cars is now less. This provides for some competition between the remaining firms to capture that lost supply in the form of increased production and profits.
Has the demand for cars subsided, or the demand for certain types of cars subsided? Further, has the demand really subsided, or has the ability for customers to afford the product demanded diminished due to unforeseen circumstances (in other words, is this a lasting effect on the auto industry?)? And your last statement is completely true: if the demand is lower, then we cannot afford to have so much production and labor attributed to the industry. Whether it be GM, AIG, or any other flailing company right now, we cannot throw good money after bad, and buy up companies that provide products and services we do not need.smockers83 wrote:Now, that example doesn't factor in the economic situation we're in. The demand for cars has decreased dramatically at record levels. When there's a cut in demand, there has to be a cut in supply to equal the cut in demand to bring the market back to equilibrium. If GM falls, this will be your cut in supply to equal demand.
The defense contracts make sense, it would certainly impact the military. However, same as with the civilian market, if there is a need, someone else would be awarded the contract. General Electric and International (along with a few others) also provide motors and engines for the MRAP, Advanced Up-Armoured HMWV (Hummer), as well as the Blackhawk, Chinook, Apache and UH-58, among others. For their information technology, I am sure that the majority of what they know, is known by other firms that make the same product. No doubt that if GM fails, it WOULD create a disaster for the country. But I have two thoughts on that. One, we would recover, we are pretty resilient, and two, such is life in a capitalistic society. Sounds cold, I know, but at some point we have to accept that our way of life has consequences, and we must be prepared to live with them, regardless of how much they might totally suck.smockers83 wrote:There are several reasons why GM can't be allowed to fail. For one, it has national defense interest, and that's probably the biggest reason. Secondly, it has an immense amount of information and technology that if it were allowed to fail, much of it would be lost. Thirdly, allowing GM to fail would be, in one word, a disaster for the country, not just Michigan and the Midwest. Unemployment is already high, over 10% in Michigan. We would see 10%+ nationwide, something that does not need to be seen in these times.
You're totally right on the union. I'd be interested, again morbidly, to see if GM really has that kind of strangle hold on the UAW. And as for my "bailout", fair enough. But what about Mom and Pop, who's hardware store is going under as a direct result of the economy? Where is THEIR bailout, they won't see the first penny from that 700 Billion dollars.smockers83 wrote:Also, if GM fails, the workers there would not be in the union as they no longer have jobs. If GM fails however, I think that would be the beginning of the end of the UAW.
As for your bailout, it's coming to you as a tax decrease.
Yes, you're right as well. Smaller car companies are already springing up. You have Tesla and this other car company that I saw being interviewed yesterday but didn't catch the name. GM is the parent company of all those and it is expected that, regardless of what happens except for failure, GM will be half the size it is now. Brands will be sold or discontinued.justclay wrote:if those companies cannot produce enough quality products (i.e. cars), then other, smaller companies will have the opportunity to capitalize on the opportunity. The other thing to keep in mind, too, is that GM is the parent company of many other car companies (Chevrolet, Saturn, Opel). I would be curious (morbidly) to see if these other smaller companies would fall with their parent, or if they'd have the necessary leadership and infrastructure to survive.
Yes, demand has decreased in the US. Every car company has seen sales slide by 30% or more. Only until recently has demand for durable goods increased, which may mean demand may be returning. Whether the customer can afford it or not, demand has declined. If a customer can't afford it, they won't demand it. That doesn't mean they don't want it though.justclay wrote:Has the demand for cars subsided, or the demand for certain types of cars subsided? Further, has the demand really subsided, or has the ability for customers to afford the product demanded diminished due to unforeseen circumstances (in other words, is this a lasting effect on the auto industry?)?
Not necessarily just for the IT knowledge, but the goodwill of the company as a whole. If GM fails and GE wins a contract to build a V12 gasoline engine for the government, it's going to take them time to figure out to build that engine because they don't build a V12 engine every day, they do the jet engines and very large diesel engines. There's the engineering aspects and production aspects and how it's all tied together.justclay wrote:For their information technology, I am sure that the majority of what they know, is known by other firms that make the same product. No doubt that if GM fails, it WOULD create a disaster for the country. But I have two thoughts on that. One, we would recover, we are pretty resilient, and two, such is life in a capitalistic society. Sounds cold, I know, but at some point we have to accept that our way of life has consequences, and we must be prepared to live with them, regardless of how much they might totally suck.
Personally I'd like to see the UAW go or at least have much of its power stripped from it. Mom and Pop should supposedly get their bailout, too, if Obama holds out on his promise. Remember what he said about people and business owners who make under $250 grand? You're getting a tax cut. Large firms aren't getting that tax cut and they are on a much grander scale than a small hardware store. I would find it interesting to see what the proportions are in terms of money lent to firms and how much a tax decrease for business owners are versus revenues and profits.justclay wrote:You're totally right on the union. I'd be interested, again morbidly, to see if GM really has that kind of strangle hold on the UAW. And as for my "bailout", fair enough. But what about Mom and Pop, who's hardware store is going under as a direct result of the economy? Where is THEIR bailout, they won't see the first penny from that 700 Billion dollars.
What national defense interest?smockers83 wrote:There are several reasons why GM can't be allowed to fail. For one, it has national defense interest, and that's probably the biggest reason. Secondly, it has an immense amount of information and technology that if it were allowed to fail, much of it would be lost. Thirdly, allowing GM to fail would be, in one word, a disaster for the country, not just Michigan and the Midwest. Unemployment is already high, over 10% in Michigan. We would see 10%+ nationwide, something that does not need to be seen in these times.
Last I heard GM had sold off anything they had to do with the military when they sold of their defense subsidiary to General Dynamics back in 2003...justclay wrote:GM (as well as several other companies) have Department of Defense contracts to develop and manufacture parts and vehicles for the Military and other government applications.
Thats different than making and supplying tanks, humvees, and other troop transport type vehicles...not to mention GM did not do the designing of the ballistic protection on the limo...smockers83 wrote:What about the president's new limo? It's a Cadillac.
^ Welcome?pdubzx wrote:Sadly, this is just the start.
The government didn't buy stock in GM. They gave them a loan. Don't be fooled.justclay wrote:To the best of my knowledge, the government is NOT the majority shareholder, and therefore they can request that change be implemented, but it is up to the company to comply or not.
Personally, I think that the government has no business dabbling in the affairs of a private company. "President" Obama has gone on a power spree, and he has only been in office less than 75 days. We're in for a long 4 years.
I understand that. But that is exactly what I don't like to see. They're throwing good money after bad. And on top of that, if the government is giving them a loan, our "president" has no business asking the CEO to resign. It'd be like me getting a loan from my local bank, and the bank president asking me to resign. It's wrong, and should not, under any circumstance, happen in a capitalistic society.charlieo wrote:
The government didn't buy stock in GM. They gave them a loan. Don't be fooled.
"majority shareholder" implies stock. Sorry, you confused me.justclay wrote:
I understand that. But that is exactly what I don't like to see. They're throwing good money after bad. And on top of that, if the government is giving them a loan, our "president" has no business asking the CEO to resign. It'd be like me getting a loan from my local bank, and the bank president asking me to resign. It's wrong, and should not, under any circumstance, happen in a capitalistic society.
I'm not much for politics, but this is a fun thread.