Election 2008: Electoral College Update - Obama's Lead Narrows

[szh]

From http://www.rasmussenreports.co...pdate

Election 2008: Electoral College UpdateElectoral College Update: Obama Lead Narrows to 10 Votes

The latest wave of state-by-state polling, market data and national trends have pushed the Rasmussen Reports' Electoral College projections as close as our daily Presidential Tracking Poll.

The latest numbers from the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator show Obama leading in states with 193 Electoral College votes and McCain ahead in states with 183 Electoral College votes. Previously, Obama had enjoyed a 210–165 advantage.

Z

[skylndrftr]

could we just like roll all the random OH LOOK AT THIS POLL threads into one? we have like 10 and everybody just finds one they like and posts it...

http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITI....htmlCnn has it as

Obamasafe 153leaning 73total 226

McCainsafe 125leaning 64total 189

thats a huge difference just by slightly changing definitions more than anything else...and again the polls don't account for people without landline phones, and specifically target a very small segment of the population. I could likely conduct the poll 10 times at the same time and get 10 statistically significant and unique answers.

[srellim234]

These things are pointless right now anyway. The main campaign with full tickets after the conventions hasn't even started yet!

By the way, my poll indicates a 100% chance that Brian Moore of the Socialist Party USA is going to win in November. I put sticks representing each party in the hutch and that was the one the rabbits selected first and chewed up.

Makes about as much sense as everyone around here who thinks their daily poll is gospel....

[HashiriyaS14]

The race is going to narrow as we reach November, that's how it rolls.

Obviously, both Republicans and Democrats love to think that their respective candidates are going to win by a landslide, but regardless of this, it's going to be a VERY CLOSE RACE.

That said, I DO think that Obama will win because he's winning in the center, but that's just my opinion.

[szh]

Makes about as much sense as everyone around here who thinks their daily poll is gospel....

I agree. The daily polls are not gospel!

However, they are indicators and, more importantly, they do influence people. Hence, they have a value ... of sorts.

Z

[skylndrftr]

Obviously, both Republicans and Democrats love to think that their respective candidates are going to win by a landslide, but regardless of this, it's going to be a VERY CLOSE RACE.

If it wasn't, where would the news channels get their ad revenue?

[AZhitman]

By the way, my poll indicates a 100% chance that Brian Moore of the Socialist Party USA is going to win in November. I put sticks representing each party in the hutch and that was the one the rabbits selected first and chewed up.

[rn79870]

Actually, if you add up the SAFE DEM, LIKELY DEM and LEANS DEM, there are 272 votes in Obama's column. With only 270 needed, he doesn't need the TOSS UP states. It's still too early.

[audtatious]

None of it matters right now. The Dems have had their get together and the Reps are fully kicking theirs off through this week. Wait a couple of weeks until things stabilize and people can get a grip on their thoughts after all the hoopla.

[HashiriyaS14]

None of it matters right now. The Dems have had their get together and the Reps are fully kicking theirs off through this week. Wait a couple of weeks until things stabilize and people can get a grip on their thoughts after all the hoopla.

A voice of reason in a sea of insanity.

Anyway, it will be interesting to see how Palin helps McCain in the "rust belt". Rural voters in Ohio and PA might be inclined to cross over to McCain now that he's got a sportsman/woman on the ticket.

I'm not sure it'd be enough to win those states, but it'll make it interesting at the very least.

Hell, it might even mean that he takes Ohio, who knows. I think it might cost McCain in certain other states though, so it's probably a toss-up.

I wonder how Obama's pledge to eliminate all federal income taxes for elderly people making under $50k will help him in Florida. It probably can't hurt, although I don't think he's advertising it enough.