2018 US Midterm Elections

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2018 Midterm Predictions

Poll ended at Tue Nov 06, 2018 1:00 pm

Red Wave: +2 Senate seats / -23 House seats
0
No votes
Red Tsunami: +3 Senate seats / Keep House majority
1
17%
Blue Wave: +1 Senate seat / +35 House seats
3
50%
Blue Tsunami: +2 Senate seats / +50 House seats
2
33%
 
Total votes: 6

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RCA
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Detailed poll breakdown:
  • Red Wave: Republicans gain 2 Senate seats but lose enough House seats to lose the majority.
    Red Tsunami: Republicans gain 3 Senate seats and Keep House majority.
    Blue Wave: Democrats gain 1 Senate seat and gain 35 House seats taking the House majority.
    Blue Tsunami: Democrats gain 2 Senate seats taking the Senate majority and gain 50 House seats taking the House majority.
Senate breakdowns
House breakdowns

Predictions and thoughts about Midterms below.


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Rogue One
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Red Tsunami: Republicans gain 3 Senate seats and Keep House majority. :tongue

Image

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RCA
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Rogue One wrote:
Fri Nov 02, 2018 11:26 pm
Republicans gain 3 Senate seats and Keep House majority. :tongue
This will be the 4th time I mentioned it, if you think a red tsunami is coming then you could make a killing putting a bet in Vegas for a red wave. Put the house and pink slips on a red wave!
It seems like your not confident enough about your claims though... :squint:

Also I wonder what people think about some of the ballot questions that are popping up.

A question for everyone, how would you vote on these questions?
  • Expansion of medicare: free government dollars for medicare in your state
  • Recreational marijuana legalization: Make marijuana as legal as cigarettes
  • Non-violent criminals can vote: Restores the right to vote for most people with prior felony convictions upon completion of their sentences

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Rogue One
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RCA wrote:
Sat Nov 03, 2018 1:01 pm
This will be the 4th time I mentioned it, if you think a red tsunami is coming then you could make a killing putting a bet in Vegas for a red wave. Put the house and pink slips on a red wave!
It seems like your not confident enough about your claims though... :squint:
At this point it's a contest to see how many times I can get you to repeat yourself. :naughty:

It's not a lack of confidence, I'm just not a betting man (I also don't drink coffee, not that it's relevant).

Rasmussen Reports: Is Another Silent Red Wave Coming?

Democrats now hold a three-point lead on the survey which has a +/- 2 margin of error. Seventy-seven percent (77%) of Republicans say they always vote in midterm elections, compared to 71% of Democrats and 63% of unaffiliated voters. The real story on Tuesday will be which side turns out even more than usual.

Fifty-one percent (51%) of all voters now approve of Trump’s job performance in the latest Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll. Forty-seven percent (47%) disapprove. Just over half (51%) of voters give Trump positive marks when it comes to his handling of the economy. Trump and the economy are the major concerns for voters going into the midterm elections.

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RCA
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Rogue One wrote:
Sat Nov 03, 2018 7:56 pm
RCA wrote:
Sat Nov 03, 2018 1:01 pm
This will be the 4th time I mentioned it, if you think a red tsunami is coming then you could make a killing putting a bet in Vegas for a red wave. Put the house and pink slips on a red wave!
It seems like your not confident enough about your claims though... :squint:
At this point it's a contest to see how many times I can get you to repeat yourself. :naughty:
It's not a lack of confidence, I'm just not a betting man (I also don't drink coffee, not that it's relevant).

Rasmussen Reports: Is Another Silent Red Wave Coming?
Sounds like the words of a man who doesn't think there will be a red wave :yesnod

The Rasmussen poll is interesting to say the least. In their methodology they mention that they do things in a similar way to Gallup and Harris. But their numbers are way off compared to theirs.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/co ... rms-header
  • Harris____ - 11/1-3__ - D53% R42% - D+11
    Harris____ - 10/29-30 - D53% R42% - D+11
    Harris____ - 10/26-28 - D47% R38% - D+9
    Harris____ - 10/21-26 - D48% R42% - D+6
    Rasmussen - 10/21-25 - D47% R44% - D+3 (Rogue's post)
    Rasmussen - 10/14-18 - D47% R44% - D+3
    Rasmussen - 10/7-11_ - D45% R44% - D+1
    Gallup____- 09/17-23 - D51% R42% - D+9
Rasmussen tends to lean to the conservative side but even if they nail it, D+3 isn't a red tsunami.

It looks more like a blue mini wave. :gotme

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telcoman
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You can't fool all of the people all of the time!

Four charts show why Trump's claims about the US economy just don't add up

https://www.cnbc.com/2018/11/03/trumps- ... dd-up.html

Telcoman

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RCA
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Telco we need more context from your post.
I agree with the sentiment of your post but it's random and doesn't make much sense.
I need a human moment out of you or I will assume you're a russian troll bot.


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